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Industry > US & World Business Conditions
ISTMA 2007:
Worldwide Business Conditions
By Harry C. Moser, President, ISTMA Americas & Chairman, Agie Charmilles
Source: ISTMA Member Assembly
Joensuu, Finland, June 9, 2007
The ISTMA member country tool and die associations presented the most recent Business Conditions Reports’ on June 9th. Timeliness ranges from December ’06 to 1Q07.
Reports on Business Conditions:
Africa: |
South Africa
- Tool and die demand >0.6 billion Euro/year
- 20% supplied locally
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Americas: |
Argentina
- hours/week = 49
- 88% rate business Good or Very Good
- optimistic
Canada
- strong in resources and mining
- soft in machining and tool making
- hurt by the high Canadian $
- hours/week = 41
- Backlog = 9.6 weeks
U.S.
- Agie Charmilles Indexes:
- Machining Business Activity Index = 67 (50 is no change)
- Medical Device Sector strongest, recovering after period of downturn.
- Financial Liquidity Index in April '07 = 526. Strongest on record.
100 is the average of the decade of the 1990s.
- NTMA:
- Aerospace and defense strong.
- Molds and dies less strong
- Overall down slightly from 7/06 to 12/06
- Hours/week = 46.5
- Severe shortage of machinists. Most recent NTMA/Agie Charmilles survey showed 10% job vacancies.
- Backlog 14 weeks
- Generally optimistic
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Asia: |
Australia:
- Business mostly Fair (worse than Good)
- Hrs./week = 41.7
China:
- Tooling, die and mold:
- Exports +44% of which molds are 80%
- Total higher than $1 billion
- Imports 7%
- Total production $7-8 billion
India:
- Booming
- Telecom and automotive strong
- Tooling:
- Huge imports
- Still locally busy
- Growing as 2nd or 3rd source to large companies
- Training a lot of machinists
Japan:
- Tooling:
- 80% of shops are small
- $14 billion production excluding captive tooling
- Government is supporting the industry
- Small companies import
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Europe: |
Czech Republic:
- all measures are up
- output +12%
- employment +2%
Estonia:
- Inflation up due to tight labor market
- Tooling:
- Busy
- Compensation up 40-50% 2005 to 2007 to average $1,300/month
- Average work week 44 hours
- Backlog = 10 weeks
- 10% growth/year
- 85% export: Sweden, Germany, Finland, Norway, Denmark
- No corporate income tax
Finland:
- Manufacturing is at full capacity - best in history
- Tool & Die - good not great
France:
- GDP +2%
- Exports +3%
- Mechanical Industry +5.8%
- Automotive leaving France
Germany:
- Tool and Die Industry
- 5,000 companies
- 807 <20 employees
- 4.1 billion Euro output
- Export to: U.S., Switz, Czech
- 4/07 YTD vs. 4/06 YTD
- Shipment +4.5%
- Orders +14%
- Overall excellent because:
- invested a lot
- R & D
- Better organization
Italy:
- GDP down
- Inflation 1.5%
- Industrial Production +1%
- Tool & Die +6%
Latvia:
Portugal:
- Molds: 90% export, 65% automotive
- Terms are an issue.
- Exports +13%
- 72% to EU, generally: France, Germany, Spain, U.S.
Russia:
Slovenia:
- Economy +5.1%
- Primarily export
- Shortage of skilled employees
Spain:
- Manufacturing recovering
- Construction down
- Tooling:
- Orders up
- Investment up
- Exchange rate hurting
- Trade with China increasing
- Wages high
- HSM and rapid prototyping up
- Cannot find young workers
Switzerland:
- Mechanical/electrical engineering industry: +17%
- Die Mold:
- Exports 1Q07 87.4M Euro
- (approximately 73% of production): to Germany, Italy, Austria, France, China, U.S.
- Minus 10.8% vs. 1Q06
- Outlook: favorable
- 510 companies
Turkey:
- Imports 60% of tooling consumption
- EDM shop rate approx. 25 Euro/hour
- Strong growth in automotive and white goods
UK:
- GDP +2.9%
- Currency too strong
- Aerospace very strong, but skill and capacity shortage
- Capital spending up.
- Toolmaking: suffering
- Bringing molding inhouse
- Dental device demand strong
- Microsurgery strong
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